'Tories to fall short of outright majority.' Poll

  • Britain could be on course for a hung parliament in nine days’ time, according to a new projection that suggests the Conservatives could fall 16 seats short of an overall majority.


    The seat-by-seat prediction by YouGov for the Timessuggests that the Conservatives are on course to win 310 seats at the election – short of an absolute majority of 326 seats needed to form a Government.


    Such a result on 9 June would be calamitous for Theresa May, who called the snap election in April, claiming the country needed certainty, stability and strong leadership as it enters the negotiations to exit the European Union on 19 June.


    http://www.independent.co.uk/n…nservatives-a7764271.html


    Obviously this poll's accuracy can't be taken at face value but who would have thought at the start of the campaign that there could be even a suggestion of anything other than a landslide for the Tories? I think the disastrous Tories care for the elderly plan plus Labour's own manifesto has made the difference. I was talking to some young people at the weekend and they seem determined to vote for Corbyn because of his promise to abolish tuition fees. Losing their votes, plus the votes of many elderly people could make a big difference to a Tory majority.

  • Unfortunately Morgan, I've not had the time yet to look at the manifestos of the parties, although the headlines of them which I have posted here, give a good flavour of them.


    I'll speak more about social care in the future, as its one of my "big" issues and a very major reason why i set this site up, but just briefly May can't talk about the often repeated "strong and stable leadership" then do a uturn on her manifesto four days after bringing it out. There needs to be a proper solution to the issue of social care and the solution is obvious, but no politician yet, not the high profile ones, are talking about it in public.


    As for the poll, well it's the Indy for a start....never really independent considering it's Irish backers.


    I think May will get a majority. Corbyn and co are IRA supporting scum who've been against this country since their inception. They are the epitomy of the term "Islington Sect." Some people ask who are the Islington sect? Well it's people like Corbynista and chums who would rather suck up to Irish terrorist scum and the Russians, than back out own people. That fact alone will lose him the election, the other being nuclear weapons. May will get her majority, I am sure of it. Ready to eat my hat, if I am wrong!

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  • I was fairly gobsmacked at the poll prediction. A turnaround from what was the case earlier. Fake news? Engineered poll?


    Free tuition is not viable. If that happens tax will have to skyrocket, especially with the numbers of migrants you are still taking in and the potential catastrophe of Corbyn's intentions to bring in as many as he can if he gets into power.


    I'd ask if the British have finally gone mad, except that I suspect a lot of skullduggery goes on in manipulating public opinion. Have to wait and see. see. If they allow Labour to get in or even be in a hung Parliament, they will be responsible for Britain's demise.


    Did you hear that, you useless scum? Way out there, sulking and parading and living off mummy and Daddy and the tax payer? You will be responsible for the ultimate destruction of your ancestral heritage, your country and you will forever be a disgrace to our ancestors. Get over yourselves and grow up.

  • May will get her majority, I am sure of it. Ready to eat my hat, if I am wrong!


    I think she'll get her majority but I also think it will be a lot less than was forecast at the start of the campaign. I thought in the beginning there would be a low turnout but this election seems to be generating a lot of interest because it's not just a choice between two centrist parties. There is a real difference although God alone knows how Corbyn thinks he's going to raise the money to pay for all his promises. We'll all have to be taxed at about 75% at this rate.

  • I'm hoping that Britain will come through this election with Brexit and an appropriate government intact. It's not a good time to start riding personal hobby horses, it's more a time to concentrate on priorities and the biggest ones are immigration and the reversal of dumbing down.

  • No one is going to sort out the immigration issue LW for reasons I have previously explained. And this is the greatest threat facing the country, not immigration, but the elite's deliberate inability not to address the main concerns that the people of this country has. If those concerns are not dealt with and they won't be they will then simmer into something else. Brexit was a shot fired by the people to the elites, but did they listen or really understand? Do they even care? Of course not.


    I'd ask if the British have finally gone mad


    If on the highly unlikely chance that Corbyn get elected, then the answer to your question is yes.


    You don't get our tv where you are LW, so you probably won't have picked up on this, but everyone says what a nice man Corbyn is. Really? I find him to be extremely aggressive, especially when he is put under a bit of pressure.


    On BBC's Daily politics programme yesterday, another Labour MP called Barry Gardiner also showed this "kindness". He was in a debate with the Conservative Michael Gove and he kept saying to Gove not to shout at him. Gove wasn't. Then Gardiner just had a meltdown and you saw the real face of liberalism then. Utter hatred.

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  • I think she'll get her majority but I also think it will be a lot less than was forecast at the start of the campaign. I thought in the beginning there would be a low turnout but this election seems to be generating a lot of interest because it's not just a choice between two centrist parties. There is a real difference although God alone knows how Corbyn thinks he's going to raise the money to pay for all his promises. We'll all have to be taxed at about 75% at this rate.


    I agree it is a clear choice, a throwback to past times if you will. The conservative vs the socialist, so it's clear cut. But really, do you think that there are enough of "our" people out there which would give Corbyn their vote thus removing May's majority? I don't think so.

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