As I expected. The scientists are trying their absolute best to thwart the PM’s efforts to ease Covid restrictions. What the hell are the playing at? I think they must be enjoying all this attention.
Government modellers predicted that cases could hit one million a week in a last-minute warning ahead of "Freedom Day".
Documents released by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies on Friday show that scientists forecast increasing numbers of cases and said they expected July 19 to bring "further waves of infections, hospitalisations and deaths".
Sir Iain Duncan Smith, a former Tory leader, told The Telegraph that there were "some scientists" who did not want restrictions to be lifted until there was "zero Covid".
He said: "The Government is constantly being assailed by scientists whose forecasts seem to be around fulfilling a purpose, keeping us in lockdown. We are in a state of unreality, it's as though we don't need an economy, we don't need to meet each other, we don't need to do anything that makes life worthwhile. But we do."
Sir Iain warned that without all of these things, the public were living "a demi life", adding: "We have been driven into a vortex led by these incredible forecasts that never seem to be right."
The clue here is in the name: The Scientific Advisory Group (you'd know it as SAGE) provides scientific and technical advice to support government decision makers during emergencies.
Providing advice. That's their job. They give best advice, after conducting any necessary research or experimentation, and reporting back to the Government according to the evidence.
I take it you're not a scientist of any stripe and have probably never worked in any scientific field. If you had, you'd have a different view of what SAGE does. But I reckon you're just another hard-right Tory who doesn't care a jot for facts or evidence. You just want to see something that will make your Party look good regardless of the reality of any given situation.
As for their advice being "right", I suggest SAGE have been right on numerable occasions, just not the sort of "right" the Government wants to hear. They want to hear "right" in terms of nice, party-friendly conclusions that they can go on the news with and bask in headlines that say how wonderful they are.
What they don't want to hear is "right" as in "accurate" if it says something they don't like the sound of.*
At the end of the day, SAGE gives advice to the Government. It's up to the Government to either take that advice or not take that advice. SAGE is not involved in the final decision.
It is the Government that is (or in a normal political climate, would be) accountable to the people for the decisions they take.
The Buck Stops Here:
What we are seeing though, is a Government that is terrified to make a decision that might not be very popular with voters, or may cast their previous decisions in a bad light if it transpires that Covid continues to get worse.
What this horrible regime is looking for is: a) Somebody to point the finger at as "doom mongers" to deflect attention away from their dithering and indecision, and; b) somebody to blame when it all goes horribly wrong rather than accept responsibility.
There is no political interference from SAGE. Just advice.
Or as one politician once said;
"Advisors advise, Government decides"
SAGE is delivering advice. Over to you, Government.
* We used to get a lot of that at the FSS. If the evidence didn't fit the suspect our work just HAD to be wrong.